ＦＩＧ (4392.T) quant model fit
Median hit rate and return when a model selected ＦＩＧ (4392.T). Model: ml-factor-lgbm-9f-jp-growth. Model–stock fit, not a buy signal.
Median LONG hit rate is 0.40 (n=12). below a coin flip.Median LONG return is -231.2 bps.
Model predictability decomposition: measures how accurately the ml-factor-lgbm-9f-jp-growth model family predicts this stock's returns within the jp-listed universe. High hit_rate_long does NOT mean 'good stock to buy' -- it means 'the model historically predicted this stock well when selecting it LONG'. This is a property of model-stock fit, not intrinsic stock quality.
Accuracy (median across grid)
| metric | median | p25 – p75 | n |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rate · LONG | 0.4046 | 0.3273 – 0.5070 | 12 |
| Hit rate · SHORT | 0.4231 | 0.3620 – 0.4895 | 12 |
| Avg return · LONG (bps) | -231.2 | -333.1 – -43.2 | 12 |
| Avg return · SHORT (bps) | 18.4 | -86.2 – 123.7 | 12 |
| Selection rate · LONG | 0.0041 | 0.0038 – 0.0046 | 12 |
| Selection rate · SHORT | 0.0079 | 0.0077 – 0.0086 | 12 |
Hit rate ≈ 0.5 means the model's picks on this stock were near coin-flip. Returns in bps per trade (1 bps = 0.01%). Metrics with n = 0 are omitted.
PnL contribution
Selected LONG 3026 / SHORT 5627 times out of 701,952 appearances (0.431% LONG).
sum of per-trade decimal returns across all grid combos and retrain periods (0.01 = one trade returning 1%)