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LOIVE (352A.T) quant model fit

352A.T·情報通信・サービスその他·jp-listed
computed asof 2026-10-01T02:33:09

Median hit rate and return when a model selected LOIVE (352A.T). Model: ml-factor-lgbm-9f-jp-growth. Model–stock fit, not a buy signal.

Median LONG hit rate is 0.73 (n=12). above a coin flip.Median LONG return is +106.5 bps.Above a coin flip is still not a buy signal.

read this first — not a buy signal

Model predictability decomposition: measures how accurately the ml-factor-lgbm-9f-jp-growth model family predicts this stock's returns within the jp-listed universe. High hit_rate_long does NOT mean 'good stock to buy' -- it means 'the model historically predicted this stock well when selecting it LONG'. This is a property of model-stock fit, not intrinsic stock quality.

Decomposes ml-factor-lgbm-9f-jp-growth — strategy verdict: marginal. Standalone walk-forward run of the same LightGBM 9-factor family on the jp-listed universe (~4,100 tickers); the referenced record's verdict applies to the jp-growth universe only.

Accuracy (median across grid)

metricmedianp25 – p75n
Hit rate · LONG0.73330.3313 – 0.928912
Hit rate · SHORTthin n10.8750 – 14
Avg return · LONG (bps)106.5-181.7 – 290.812
Avg return · SHORT (bps)thin n292.2266.8 – 292.24
Selection rate · LONG0.00160.0006 – 0.002712
Selection rate · SHORT00 – 0.000112

Hit rate ≈ 0.5 means the model's picks on this stock were near coin-flip. Returns in bps per trade (1 bps = 0.01%). Metrics with n = 0 are omitted. Rows marked thin n have fewer than 5 observations — do not over-read them.

PnL contribution

long
2.9354
short
0.2134
total
3.1488

Selected LONG 256 / SHORT 8 times out of 136,896 appearances (0.187% LONG).

sum of per-trade decimal returns across all grid combos and retrain periods (0.01 = one trade returning 1%)

/ai/stocks/352A.T.md/v1/stocks/352A.T
Research, not investment advice. Metrics describe model–stock fit, not the stock's merit.
LOIVE (352A.T) quant model fit | qbuntu