ＳＲＥホールディングス (2980.T) quant model fit
Median hit rate and return when a model selected ＳＲＥホールディングス (2980.T). Model: ml-factor-lgbm-9f-jp-growth. Model–stock fit, not a buy signal.
Median LONG hit rate is 0.45 (n=12). below a coin flip.Median LONG return is +24.9 bps.
Model predictability decomposition: measures how accurately the ml-factor-lgbm-9f-jp-growth model family predicts this stock's returns within the jp-listed universe. High hit_rate_long does NOT mean 'good stock to buy' -- it means 'the model historically predicted this stock well when selecting it LONG'. This is a property of model-stock fit, not intrinsic stock quality.
Accuracy (median across grid)
| metric | median | p25 – p75 | n |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rate · LONG | 0.4477 | 0.3923 – 0.5448 | 12 |
| Hit rate · SHORT | 0.5750 | 0.5096 – 0.6246 | 12 |
| Avg return · LONG (bps) | 24.9 | -19.0 – 93.3 | 12 |
| Avg return · SHORT (bps) | -35.5 | -139.7 – 156.3 | 12 |
| Selection rate · LONG | 0.0056 | 0.0049 – 0.0066 | 12 |
| Selection rate · SHORT | 0.0017 | 0.0009 – 0.0020 | 12 |
Hit rate ≈ 0.5 means the model's picks on this stock were near coin-flip. Returns in bps per trade (1 bps = 0.01%). Metrics with n = 0 are omitted.
PnL contribution
Selected LONG 4904 / SHORT 1488 times out of 871,680 appearances (0.563% LONG).
sum of per-trade decimal returns across all grid combos and retrain periods (0.01 = one trade returning 1%)