コージンバイオ (177A.T) quant model fit
Median hit rate and return when a model selected コージンバイオ (177A.T). Model: ml-factor-lgbm-9f-jp-growth. Model–stock fit, not a buy signal.
Median LONG hit rate is 0.30 (n=12). below a coin flip.Median LONG return is -126.4 bps.
Model predictability decomposition: measures how accurately the ml-factor-lgbm-9f-jp-growth model family predicts this stock's returns within the jp-listed universe. High hit_rate_long does NOT mean 'good stock to buy' -- it means 'the model historically predicted this stock well when selecting it LONG'. This is a property of model-stock fit, not intrinsic stock quality.
Accuracy (median across grid)
| metric | median | p25 – p75 | n |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rate · LONG | 0.2967 | 0.1362 – 0.5081 | 12 |
| Hit rate · SHORT | 0.3863 | 0.2774 – 0.5343 | 12 |
| Avg return · LONG (bps) | -126.4 | -303.0 – -27.3 | 12 |
| Avg return · SHORT (bps) | 12.8 | -188.3 – 165.6 | 12 |
| Selection rate · LONG | 0.0052 | 0.0028 – 0.0077 | 12 |
| Selection rate · SHORT | 0.0217 | 0.0197 – 0.0268 | 12 |
Hit rate ≈ 0.5 means the model's picks on this stock were near coin-flip. Returns in bps per trade (1 bps = 0.01%). Metrics with n = 0 are omitted.
PnL contribution
Selected LONG 465 / SHORT 1999 times out of 86,976 appearances (0.535% LONG).
sum of per-trade decimal returns across all grid combos and retrain periods (0.01 = one trade returning 1%)