{"schema_version":"v1","type":"per_stock_model_accuracy","ticker":"7585.T","universe":"jp-listed","name":"かんなん丸","sector":"小売","computed_asof":"2026-10-01T02:33:09","frame":"Model predictability decomposition: measures how accurately the ml-factor-lgbm-9f-jp-growth model family predicts this stock's returns within the jp-listed universe. High hit_rate_long does NOT mean 'good stock to buy' -- it means 'the model historically predicted this stock well when selecting it LONG'. This is a property of model-stock fit, not intrinsic stock quality.","source_strategy":{"note":"Standalone walk-forward run of the same LightGBM 9-factor family on the jp-listed universe (~4,100 tickers); the referenced record's verdict applies to the jp-growth universe only.","slug":"ml-factor-lgbm-9f-jp-growth","verdict":"marginal","relation":"model_family"},"source_strategy_exists":true,"units":{"pnl_cumul_*":"sum of per-trade decimal returns across all grid combos and retrain periods (0.01 = one trade returning 1%)","hit_rate_long":"ratio [0, 1] -- fraction of LONG selections with positive net return","hit_rate_short":"ratio [0, 1] -- fraction of SHORT selections with positive net return","avg_return_long_bps":"basis points per trade (1 bps = 0.01%) -- average net return when selected LONG","selection_rate_long":"ratio [0, 1] -- fraction of appearances where selected LONG","avg_return_short_bps":"basis points per trade (1 bps = 0.01%) -- average net return when selected SHORT","selection_rate_short":"ratio [0, 1] -- fraction of appearances where selected SHORT"},"accuracy_summary":{"hit_rate_long":{"n":12,"p25":0.4504,"p75":0.6627,"median":0.6109},"hit_rate_short":{"n":12,"p25":0.9555,"p75":0.9961,"median":0.9825},"avg_return_long_bps":{"n":12,"p25":-26.4286,"p75":223.463,"median":82.647},"selection_rate_long":{"n":12,"p25":0.0354,"p75":0.0431,"median":0.0393},"avg_return_short_bps":{"n":12,"p25":719.5085,"p75":886.51,"median":776.0809},"selection_rate_short":{"n":12,"p25":0.0299,"p75":0.0476,"median":0.0391}},"selection_counts":{"n_long_total":2029,"n_short_total":2033,"n_appearances_total":51456},"pnl_contribution":{"long":15.1209,"short":163.6634,"total":178.7843},"_links":{"self":"https://qbuntu.ai/v1/stocks/7585.T","html":"https://qbuntu.ai/stocks/7585.T","markdown":"https://qbuntu.ai/ai/stocks/7585.T.md"},"license":"CC-BY-4.0"}