{"schema_version":"v1","type":"per_stock_model_accuracy","ticker":"4594.T","universe":"jp-listed","name":"ブライトパス・バイオ","sector":"医薬品","computed_asof":"2026-10-01T02:33:09","frame":"Model predictability decomposition: measures how accurately the ml-factor-lgbm-9f-jp-growth model family predicts this stock's returns within the jp-listed universe. High hit_rate_long does NOT mean 'good stock to buy' -- it means 'the model historically predicted this stock well when selecting it LONG'. This is a property of model-stock fit, not intrinsic stock quality.","source_strategy":{"note":"Standalone walk-forward run of the same LightGBM 9-factor family on the jp-listed universe (~4,100 tickers); the referenced record's verdict applies to the jp-growth universe only.","slug":"ml-factor-lgbm-9f-jp-growth","verdict":"marginal","relation":"model_family"},"source_strategy_exists":true,"units":{"pnl_cumul_*":"sum of per-trade decimal returns across all grid combos and retrain periods (0.01 = one trade returning 1%)","hit_rate_long":"ratio [0, 1] -- fraction of LONG selections with positive net return","hit_rate_short":"ratio [0, 1] -- fraction of SHORT selections with positive net return","avg_return_long_bps":"basis points per trade (1 bps = 0.01%) -- average net return when selected LONG","selection_rate_long":"ratio [0, 1] -- fraction of appearances where selected LONG","avg_return_short_bps":"basis points per trade (1 bps = 0.01%) -- average net return when selected SHORT","selection_rate_short":"ratio [0, 1] -- fraction of appearances where selected SHORT"},"accuracy_summary":{"hit_rate_long":{"n":12,"p25":0.3402,"p75":0.411,"median":0.3726},"hit_rate_short":{"n":12,"p25":0.5872,"p75":0.6588,"median":0.6123},"avg_return_long_bps":{"n":12,"p25":-43.2193,"p75":149.4189,"median":8.499},"selection_rate_long":{"n":12,"p25":0.0064,"p75":0.0094,"median":0.0079},"avg_return_short_bps":{"n":12,"p25":223.6014,"p75":373.2167,"median":322.8112},"selection_rate_short":{"n":12,"p25":0.0173,"p75":0.02,"median":0.0188}},"selection_counts":{"n_long_total":5559,"n_short_total":12976,"n_appearances_total":693504},"pnl_contribution":{"long":28.0653,"short":409.9737,"total":438.0391},"_links":{"self":"https://qbuntu.ai/v1/stocks/4594.T","html":"https://qbuntu.ai/stocks/4594.T","markdown":"https://qbuntu.ai/ai/stocks/4594.T.md"},"license":"CC-BY-4.0"}