# バリュエンスホールディングス (9270.T) — per-stock model accuracy

> Model predictability decomposition: measures how accurately the ml-factor-lgbm-9f-jp-growth model family predicts this stock's returns within the jp-listed universe. High hit_rate_long does NOT mean 'good stock to buy' -- it means 'the model historically predicted this stock well when selecting it LONG'. This is a property of model-stock fit, not intrinsic stock quality.

- **Name**: バリュエンスホールディングス
- **Sector**: 商社・卸売
- **Universe**: jp-listed
- **Decomposes**: `ml-factor-lgbm-9f-jp-growth` (strategy verdict: marginal) — https://qbuntu.ai/strategies/ml-factor-lgbm-9f-jp-growth
- **Computed asof**: 2026-10-01T02:33:09
- **HTML**: https://qbuntu.ai/stocks/9270.T
- **JSON**: https://qbuntu.ai/v1/stocks/9270.T
- **License**: CC-BY-4.0

## Accuracy (median across grid)

Median LONG hit rate is 0.4551 — near a coin flip.

| metric | median | p25 | p75 | n |
|---|---:|---:|---:|---:|
| hit_rate_long | 0.4551 | 0.3780 | 0.5383 | 12 |
| hit_rate_short | 0.4717 | 0.4226 | 0.5552 | 12 |
| avg_return_long_bps | -31.0 | -81.3 | 9.2609 | 12 |
| avg_return_short_bps | -24.5 | -56.3 | 3.2228 | 12 |
| selection_rate_long | 0.0065 | 0.0059 | 0.0068 | 12 |
| selection_rate_short | 0.0046 | 0.0036 | 0.0055 | 12 |

Hit rate ≈ 0.5 means the model's picks on this stock were near coin-flip. Returns in bps/trade. Metrics with n = 0 are omitted; n < 5 is a thin sample.

## PnL contribution

- long: -14.8
- short: -3.8386
- total: -18.6
- appearances: LONG 4665 / SHORT 3215 of 721152

---

Research, not investment advice. These metrics describe model–stock fit, not the stock's merit.
Cite as: qbuntu (2026). 9270.T per-stock accuracy. https://qbuntu.ai/stocks/9270.T