# キムラタン (8107.T) — per-stock model accuracy

> Model predictability decomposition: measures how accurately the ml-factor-lgbm-9f-jp-growth model family predicts this stock's returns within the jp-listed universe. High hit_rate_long does NOT mean 'good stock to buy' -- it means 'the model historically predicted this stock well when selecting it LONG'. This is a property of model-stock fit, not intrinsic stock quality.

- **Name**: キムラタン
- **Sector**: 素材・化学
- **Universe**: jp-listed
- **Decomposes**: `ml-factor-lgbm-9f-jp-growth` (strategy verdict: marginal) — https://qbuntu.ai/strategies/ml-factor-lgbm-9f-jp-growth
- **Computed asof**: 2026-10-01T02:33:09
- **HTML**: https://qbuntu.ai/stocks/8107.T
- **JSON**: https://qbuntu.ai/v1/stocks/8107.T
- **License**: CC-BY-4.0

## Accuracy (median across grid)

Median LONG hit rate is 0.3291 — below a coin flip.

| metric | median | p25 | p75 | n |
|---|---:|---:|---:|---:|
| hit_rate_long | 0.3291 | 0.2669 | 0.4212 | 12 |
| hit_rate_short | 0.6233 | 0.5748 | 0.7811 | 12 |
| avg_return_long_bps | -32.5 | -115.7 | 43.2 | 12 |
| avg_return_short_bps | 178.6 | 46.3 | 247.2 | 12 |
| selection_rate_long | 0.0140 | 0.0104 | 0.0200 | 12 |
| selection_rate_short | 0.0218 | 0.0165 | 0.0271 | 12 |

Hit rate ≈ 0.5 means the model's picks on this stock were near coin-flip. Returns in bps/trade. Metrics with n = 0 are omitted; n < 5 is a thin sample.

## PnL contribution

- long: -3.4105
- short: 65.8
- total: 62.4
- appearances: LONG 2940 / SHORT 4450 of 195840

---

Research, not investment advice. These metrics describe model–stock fit, not the stock's merit.
Cite as: qbuntu (2026). 8107.T per-stock accuracy. https://qbuntu.ai/stocks/8107.T