# 壽屋 (7809.T) — per-stock model accuracy

> Model predictability decomposition: measures how accurately the ml-factor-lgbm-9f-jp-growth model family predicts this stock's returns within the jp-listed universe. High hit_rate_long does NOT mean 'good stock to buy' -- it means 'the model historically predicted this stock well when selecting it LONG'. This is a property of model-stock fit, not intrinsic stock quality.

- **Name**: 壽屋
- **Sector**: 情報通信・サービスその他
- **Universe**: jp-listed
- **Decomposes**: `ml-factor-lgbm-9f-jp-growth` (strategy verdict: marginal) — https://qbuntu.ai/strategies/ml-factor-lgbm-9f-jp-growth
- **Computed asof**: 2026-10-01T02:33:09
- **HTML**: https://qbuntu.ai/stocks/7809.T
- **JSON**: https://qbuntu.ai/v1/stocks/7809.T
- **License**: CC-BY-4.0

## Accuracy (median across grid)

Median LONG hit rate is 0.6239 — above a coin flip — still not a buy signal.

| metric | median | p25 | p75 | n |
|---|---:|---:|---:|---:|
| hit_rate_long | 0.6239 | 0.4842 | 0.6532 | 12 |
| hit_rate_short | 0.8934 | 0.7968 | 0.9345 | 12 |
| avg_return_long_bps | 68.7 | -15.3 | 119.4 | 12 |
| avg_return_short_bps | 627.0 | 584.3 | 730.5 | 12 |
| selection_rate_long | 0.0057 | 0.0042 | 0.0076 | 12 |
| selection_rate_short | 0.0036 | 0.0033 | 0.0040 | 12 |

Hit rate ≈ 0.5 means the model's picks on this stock were near coin-flip. Returns in bps/trade. Metrics with n = 0 are omitted; n < 5 is a thin sample.

## PnL contribution

- long: 19.6
- short: 107.9
- total: 127.5
- appearances: LONG 2657 / SHORT 1697 of 451584

---

Research, not investment advice. These metrics describe model–stock fit, not the stock's merit.
Cite as: qbuntu (2026). 7809.T per-stock accuracy. https://qbuntu.ai/stocks/7809.T