# リョービ (5851.T) — per-stock model accuracy

> Model predictability decomposition: measures how accurately the ml-factor-lgbm-9f-jp-growth model family predicts this stock's returns within the jp-listed universe. High hit_rate_long does NOT mean 'good stock to buy' -- it means 'the model historically predicted this stock well when selecting it LONG'. This is a property of model-stock fit, not intrinsic stock quality.

- **Name**: リョービ
- **Sector**: 鉄鋼・非鉄
- **Universe**: jp-listed
- **Decomposes**: `ml-factor-lgbm-9f-jp-growth` (strategy verdict: marginal) — https://qbuntu.ai/strategies/ml-factor-lgbm-9f-jp-growth
- **Computed asof**: 2026-10-01T02:33:09
- **HTML**: https://qbuntu.ai/stocks/5851.T
- **JSON**: https://qbuntu.ai/v1/stocks/5851.T
- **License**: CC-BY-4.0

## Accuracy (median across grid)

Median LONG hit rate is 0.7750 — above a coin flip — still not a buy signal.

| metric | median | p25 | p75 | n |
|---|---:|---:|---:|---:|
| hit_rate_long | 0.7750 | 0.7057 | 0.9119 | 12 |
| hit_rate_short | 0.0498 | 0 | 0.3038 | 12 |
| avg_return_long_bps | 97.6 | 65.2 | 186.0 | 12 |
| avg_return_short_bps | -278.1 | -336.6 | -187.7 | 12 |
| selection_rate_long | 0.0002 | 0.0001 | 0.0003 | 12 |
| selection_rate_short | 0.0003 | 0.0001 | 0.0007 | 12 |

Hit rate ≈ 0.5 means the model's picks on this stock were near coin-flip. Returns in bps/trade. Metrics with n = 0 are omitted; n < 5 is a thin sample.

## PnL contribution

- long: 2.4228
- short: -12.0
- total: -9.5484
- appearances: LONG 186 / SHORT 482 of 871680

---

Research, not investment advice. These metrics describe model–stock fit, not the stock's merit.
Cite as: qbuntu (2026). 5851.T per-stock accuracy. https://qbuntu.ai/stocks/5851.T