# エスクリプトエナジー (5721.T) — per-stock model accuracy

> Model predictability decomposition: measures how accurately the ml-factor-lgbm-9f-jp-growth model family predicts this stock's returns within the jp-listed universe. High hit_rate_long does NOT mean 'good stock to buy' -- it means 'the model historically predicted this stock well when selecting it LONG'. This is a property of model-stock fit, not intrinsic stock quality.

- **Name**: エスクリプトエナジー
- **Sector**: 鉄鋼・非鉄
- **Universe**: jp-listed
- **Decomposes**: `ml-factor-lgbm-9f-jp-growth` (strategy verdict: marginal) — https://qbuntu.ai/strategies/ml-factor-lgbm-9f-jp-growth
- **Computed asof**: 2026-10-01T02:33:09
- **HTML**: https://qbuntu.ai/stocks/5721.T
- **JSON**: https://qbuntu.ai/v1/stocks/5721.T
- **License**: CC-BY-4.0

## Accuracy (median across grid)

Median LONG hit rate is 0.3463 — below a coin flip.

| metric | median | p25 | p75 | n |
|---|---:|---:|---:|---:|
| hit_rate_long | 0.3463 | 0.3210 | 0.3787 | 12 |
| hit_rate_short | 0.5857 | 0.5604 | 0.6399 | 12 |
| avg_return_long_bps | -66.0 | -187.6 | -26.8 | 12 |
| avg_return_short_bps | 199.4 | 91.0 | 228.2 | 12 |
| selection_rate_long | 0.0200 | 0.0167 | 0.0267 | 12 |
| selection_rate_short | 0.0547 | 0.0521 | 0.0578 | 12 |

Hit rate ≈ 0.5 means the model's picks on this stock were near coin-flip. Returns in bps/trade. Metrics with n = 0 are omitted; n < 5 is a thin sample.

## PnL contribution

- long: -99.2
- short: 343.3
- total: 244.1
- appearances: LONG 7925 / SHORT 21941 of 385536

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Research, not investment advice. These metrics describe model–stock fit, not the stock's merit.
Cite as: qbuntu (2026). 5721.T per-stock accuracy. https://qbuntu.ai/stocks/5721.T