# サークレイス (5029.T) — per-stock model accuracy

> Model predictability decomposition: measures how accurately the ml-factor-lgbm-9f-jp-growth model family predicts this stock's returns within the jp-listed universe. High hit_rate_long does NOT mean 'good stock to buy' -- it means 'the model historically predicted this stock well when selecting it LONG'. This is a property of model-stock fit, not intrinsic stock quality.

- **Name**: サークレイス
- **Sector**: 情報通信・サービスその他
- **Universe**: jp-listed
- **Decomposes**: `ml-factor-lgbm-9f-jp-growth` (strategy verdict: marginal) — https://qbuntu.ai/strategies/ml-factor-lgbm-9f-jp-growth
- **Computed asof**: 2026-10-01T02:33:09
- **HTML**: https://qbuntu.ai/stocks/5029.T
- **JSON**: https://qbuntu.ai/v1/stocks/5029.T
- **License**: CC-BY-4.0

## Accuracy (median across grid)

Median LONG hit rate is 0.6436 — above a coin flip — still not a buy signal.

| metric | median | p25 | p75 | n |
|---|---:|---:|---:|---:|
| hit_rate_long | 0.6436 | 0.6005 | 0.6699 | 12 |
| hit_rate_short | 0.6091 | 0.5679 | 0.6513 | 12 |
| avg_return_long_bps | 169.8 | 50.8 | 254.6 | 12 |
| avg_return_short_bps | 237.8 | 157.5 | 267.0 | 12 |
| selection_rate_long | 0.0109 | 0.0084 | 0.0125 | 12 |
| selection_rate_short | 0.0163 | 0.0133 | 0.0195 | 12 |

Hit rate ≈ 0.5 means the model's picks on this stock were near coin-flip. Returns in bps/trade. Metrics with n = 0 are omitted; n < 5 is a thin sample.

## PnL contribution

- long: 40.2
- short: 99.0
- total: 139.2
- appearances: LONG 2925 / SHORT 4408 of 268992

---

Research, not investment advice. These metrics describe model–stock fit, not the stock's merit.
Cite as: qbuntu (2026). 5029.T per-stock accuracy. https://qbuntu.ai/stocks/5029.T